Forecasting

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  • The focus in this book is on the study of market risk from a quantitative point of view. The emphasis is on presenting commonly used state-of-the-art quantitative techniques used in finance for the management of market risk and demonstrate their use employing the principal two mathematical programming languages, R and Matlab. All the code in the book can be downloaded from the book’s website at www.financialrisk forecasting.com

    pdf298p baobinh1311 25-09-2012 60 33   Download

  • This study briefly summarizes the thunderstorm activities in Vietnam. To predict thunderstorms in the Noi Bai Airport region, the thunderstorm indices are calculated for 64 grid points nearby Noi Bai region from the predicted meteorological fields with RAMS (Regional Atmospheric Modeling System) model. The forecast procedure for thunderstorm is built for this region with four prediction factors, such as CAPEmax, Kimax, SI min, Vtmax in the forecast threshold of 0.6. As a result, the occurrence of thunderstorms reaches 80% for the duration of 36 hours.

    pdf8p dem_thanh 22-12-2012 15 5   Download

  • Forecasting Operating Expenses : sometimes current expenses are grown forward using a common inflation index, such as the Consumer Price Index. Forecasting Vacancy Rates: a common method is to forecast these rates as an annual average percentage of the lease rental.

    ppt12p muaxuan102 21-02-2013 22 5   Download

  • This chapter presents the following content: Strategic role of forecasting in supply chain management, components of forecasting demand, time series methods, forecast accuracy, time series forecasting using excel, regression methods.

    ppt70p allbymyself_06 27-01-2016 10 3   Download

  • The forecasts show that in the period of 2016-2020, the average annual economic growth of Vietnam is unlikely to exceed 6% due to the lack of improvement in the dynamics and quality of growth.

    pdf17p thaodien102 16-11-2015 11 2   Download

  • Chapter 05 "International Parity Relationships and Forecasting Foreign Exchange" consisting of multiple choice quiz questions to help you strengthen their knowledge and familiarity with multiple choice quiz format.

    pdf61p grintokyro 11-01-2016 8 2   Download

  • This chapter presents the following content: Quantitative approaches to forecasting, components of a time series, measures of forecast accuracy, smoothing methods, trend projection, trend and seasonal components, regression analysis, qualitative approaches.

    ppt41p allbymyself_06 27-01-2016 5 2   Download

  • When you complete this chapter you should be able to: Understand the three time horizons and which models apply for each; explain when to use each of the four qualitative models; apply the naive, moving-average, exponential smoothing, and trend methods; compute three measures of forecast accuracy; develop seasonal indices; conduct a regression and correlation analysis; use a tracking signal.

    ppt125p tangtuy18 12-07-2016 4 2   Download

  • This paper explores how long-term energy forecasts are created and why they are useful. It focuses on forecasts of energy use in the United States for the year 2000 but considers only long-term predictions, i.e., those covering two or more decades. The motivation is current interest in global warming forecasts, some of which run beyond a century. The basic observation is that forecasters in the 1950–1980 period underestimated the importance of unmodeled surprises

    pdf38p hailedangbs 02-05-2013 17 1   Download

  • We describe our initial investigations into generating textual summaries of spatiotemporal data with the help of a prototype Natural Language Generation (NLG) system that produces pollen forecasts for Scotland. forecasts were written. An example of a pollen forecast text is shown in Figure 1, its corresponding data is shown in table 1. A pollen forecast in the map form is shown in Figure 2. ‘Monday looks set to bring another day of relatively high pollen counts, with values up to a very high eight in the Central Belt. ...

    pdf4p bunthai_1 06-05-2013 6 1   Download

  • Time Series Forecasting – Part I presents about What is a Time Series? Components of Time Series, Evaluation Methods of Forecast, Smoothing Methods of Time Series, Time series models, Components of a time series, Trend component.

    ppt33p cocacola_10 08-12-2015 6 1   Download

  • Time Series Forecasting (Part II) povides about Stationary and nonstationary processes, Autocorrelation function, Autoregressive models AR, Moving Average models MA, ARMA models, Estimating and checking ARIMA models(Box-Jenkins Methodology).

    ppt50p cocacola_10 08-12-2015 10 1   Download

  • part: forecasts and results Business Benchmark helps students get ahead fast with their Business English vocabulary and skills and gives them grammar practice in business contexts. It also helps students prepare for an internationally recognised Cambridge ESOL Business English exam, using real exam papers from Cambridge ESOL. Teachers can choose from the BEC edition or the BULATS edition at the right level for their students.

    pdf12p batoan 12-08-2009 212 121   Download

  • This document has been developed for the Internet by the Ministry of Competition, Science and Enterprise, Province of British Columbia and Western Economic Diversification, Federal Government of Canada.

    pdf0p thotuu1788 21-01-2010 165 63   Download

  • Tham khảo tài liệu 'new products management- chapter 11 sales forecasting and financial analysis', kinh doanh - tiếp thị, tiếp thị - bán hàng phục vụ nhu cầu học tập, nghiên cứu và làm việc hiệu quả

    ppt17p tuan_mit 09-06-2011 127 33   Download

  • Interest in using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting has led to a tremendous surge in research activities in the past decade. While ANNs provide a great deal of promise, they also embody much uncertainty. Researchers to date are still not certain about the effect of key factors on forecasting performance of ANNs. This paper presents a state-of-the-art survey of ANN applications in forecasting.

    pdf28p ba_obama 26-05-2011 63 20   Download

  • For the company to achieve future financial goals, through the annual financial statements is expected to predict future growth and capital needs of the situation 。 Can be roughly divided into the most optimistic, most pessimistic and normal, etc. Financial planning should be to make a prediction for the future, and based on certain assumptions.

    ppt17p msnhinh610 19-08-2012 50 20   Download

  • Volatility forecasting is crucial for option pricing, risk management and portfolio management. Nowadays, volatility has become the subject of trading. There are now exchange-traded contracts written on volatility. Financial market volatility also has a wider impact on financial regulation, monetary policy and macroeconomy.

    pdf238p greengrass304 14-09-2012 45 20   Download

  • Tham khảo tài liệu 'real estate modelling and forecasting by chris brooks and sotiris tsolacos_2', tài chính - ngân hàng, đầu tư bất động sản phục vụ nhu cầu học tập, nghiên cứu và làm việc hiệu quả

    pdf32p luly_meo5 10-02-2012 45 19   Download

  • Tham khảo tài liệu 'real estate modelling and forecasting by chris brooks and sotiris tsolacos_5', tài chính - ngân hàng, đầu tư bất động sản phục vụ nhu cầu học tập, nghiên cứu và làm việc hiệu quả

    pdf32p luly_meo5 10-02-2012 43 19   Download

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