Xem 1-20 trên 59 kết quả Project risk analysis
  • It would not be exaggerating to argue that financial risk analysis is one of the most important and most difficult components of project appraisal. Such analysis is especially important because the financial viability of a project may be critical for its long-term sustainability and survivability. Its particular difficulty is due to the inherent challenge of pricing risk with market

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  • This paper was prepared for the purpose of presenting the methodology and uses of the Monte Carlo simulation technique as applied in the evaluation of investment projects to analyse and assess risk. The first part of the paper highlights the importance of risk analysis in investment appraisal. The second part presents the various stages in the application of the risk analysis process. The third part examines the interpretation of the re

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  • Where the possible values could have significant impact on project’s profitability, a decision will involve taking a risk. In some situations, degree of risk can be objectively determined. Estimating probability of an event usually involves subjectivity.

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  • Cùng tìm hiểu Estimating cash flows; Capital budgeting with risk issues; Project risk analysis; Managing risk with staged-decision được trình bày cụ thể trong "Bài giảng Management theory and practice Financial: Chapter 11". Mời các bạn cùng tìm hiểu và tham khảo nội dung thông tin tài liệu.

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  • Risks are potential problems that might affect the successful completion of a software project. Risks involve uncertainty and potential losses. Risk analysis and management is intended to help a software team understand and manage uncertainty during the development process. The important thing is to remember that things can go wrong and to make plans to minimize their impact when they do. The work product is called a Risk Mitigation, Monitoring, and Management Plan.

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  • Chapter 10: Project risk management. In this chapter students will be able to: Understand risk and the importance of good project risk management, discuss the elements of planning risk management and the contents of a risk management plan, list common sources of risks on information technology (IT) projects,...

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  • The two projects have the same economic impact, in terms of generating income for factors of production and inducing additional expenditures, but the hospital has a higher net present value than the hole in the ground.

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  • Measures the economic efficiency of the project: if net benefit is positive, the project is a more efficient allocation of resources than the alternative (the world “without” the project).

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  • When we do a benefit-cost analysis, we have to value a range of commodities which are either inputs to or outputs of the project. Some of these commodities are traded (i.e. can be bought or sold on international markets) and some are non-traded (are not bought or sold in international markets but are only traded domestically).

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  • To derive private cash flow, we begin by calculating overall project cash flow.The private cash flow is the cash flow on the investor’s own funds or ‘equity’.

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  • The market prices of project inputs or outputs will NOT change if: - the inputs or outputs are TRADED ie. price is determined in world markets) - the project is SMALL relative to the size of the economy in which is undertaken

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  • After studying chapter 14, you should be able to: Define the “riskiness” of a capital investment project; understand how cash-flow riskiness for a particular period is measured, including the concepts of expected value, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation; describe methods for assessing total project risk, including a probability approach and a simulation approach.

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  • This chapter begins with a general introduction to project risk and follows with the consideration of its specific measurement. Next, an investment project is examined with respect to its firm-portfolio risk – that is, the marginal risk of a project to the firm as a whole. Finally, the effect of managerial (real) options on project desirability is studied.

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  • This report is one of a series from a RAND Project AIR FORCE project, “The Cost of Future Military Aircraft: Historical Cost Estimating Relationships and Cost Reduction Initiatives.” The purpose of the project is to improve the tools used to estimate the costs of future weapon systems. It focuses on how recent technical, management, and government policy changes affect cost. This report examines cost estimating risk analysis methods and recommends a policy prescription. The project was conducted within the RAND...

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  • A cost estimate for a project such as the acquisition of a new aircraft or satellite system carries with it an inherent probability that the actual cost will exceed the estimate

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  • Project Risk Management includes the processes concerned with conducting risk management planning, identification, analysis, responses, and monitoring and control on a project; most of these processes are updated throughout the project.

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  • We are living in a risky world, and it is getting riskier and riskier. As one of my fundamental claims that have been delivered to various audience including scho-lars, practitioners and government officers, first, risk avoidance system in today’s world is becoming so interconnected; second, it is fully supported by a great of risk issues that have been addressed in this edited volume.

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  • The World Bank Institute was established by the World Bank in 1955 to train officials con-cerned with development planning, policymaking, investment analysis, and project imple-mentation in member developing countries. At present the substance of WBI’s work empha-sizes macroeconomic and sectoral policy analysis.

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  • This handbook is the product of a team effort. Jock Anderson, Howard Barnum, John Dixon, and Jee-Peng Tan contributed to the chapters on risk analysis, assessment of health projects, environmental externalities, and on the assessment of education projects, respectively, with valuable input on the latter from George Psacharopoulos. Rodrigo Archondo-Callao, Shantayanan Devarajan, Colin A. Gannon, Pablo Guerrero, Kenneth M. Gwilliam, Ian G. Heggie, David Hughart, Howard Jones, Ulrich Lachler, Julio Linares, Ricardo Martin, Roberto Mosse, A. Mead Over, David A.

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  • We have seen how in conducting efficiency benefit-cost analysis we often use market prices, either directly or indirectly, to value or cost project outputs or inputs. We use market prices directly when they are generated by perfectly competitive markets - markets that are not distorted by monopoly, monopsony, taxes or regulations.

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