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Peak load forecasting for Vietnam national power system to 2030

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Peak load forecasting for Vietnam national power system to 2030

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Using the feed-forward back propagation (FFBP) method, a modified model of neural network, this paper will introduce a new long-term prediction approach for the maximum load power of Vietnam. Results from simulation indicate a considerable correlation of three parameters regarding electric power consumption demand, GDP growth rate, and maximum load power demand; the mean error of suggested model is about 1.92%. This is a reasonable range of mean error for a long-term prediction where the correlation of variables is not explicit.

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Nội dung Text: Peak load forecasting for Vietnam national power system to 2030

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