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MÔ HÌNH ETA VÀ ÁP
DỤNG VÀO DỰ BÁO
BÃO Ở VIỆT NAM
i


 !"#$%&'()&"'*
%+,',,-&.&/01234
'*35%(6 !78&9.:;+<=,
>8 ?'@& A.B"2'AC'"7&D/
6"8'EC0&/
%+F/ @6G@60&/6E;
!@& A.B&H/&"'*
I%+/! @&+.124'*
,>,,/JF(E,&.12@( !:
>8 ?@& A.B>8&"'*
KDLM%+/ #'
@N9 !C;@O'I -';'@&+6 A.B
D7&&D/6"8@

ii

 
 

 !"#$%&
"%'()*%+,--./011.2
PPPD2!&',878B &@ -CQ,Q#R
'QSG
PPTFD/&@ -4/!&,878B ;,
Q#R'QSG 
PPUGV S+&@ -4/!&',878B %C WB
X/+
0(!3 4
5(!678
9:;< =>!?@:

 !"#$%&'&($)*+,
0A6BC+'D"E 
00:;< ))=+'D"E 
05F)*'*G+'D"E
09H= 7#BI 
TYPZ184/+#[\ 
TYTGA.B;&+#[\ 
0J"BIKLMND"E
T]P/+D&,:@ 
T]T ^/+DH/ D4/Q_3`_3a/bcQ`ad 
T]U ^/+D&, D0/3ec0ed
iii
T]Y ^/+D&, D0/3e'2 -2
c0e`fd 
0O:;$P GQH"R011.BG
:HDR0110 
0S$>T+'D"E>!?@:
TgP`A(E,&'7# 
TgT`%"8DB;:
TgUK,8,MB+ 
TgYF8,8, J+!& 
Tg]K,$; ,,
-./,0 
1(2$323425)#322',)*,"
26,07- ,-!" 
5P3 G>!3 4U+'D"E 
UPPG,,.<%(E,&!&`/_
UPTG,,.%*(E,&;&-"8+) 
50P3 G>!678 
UTPGJh/'J1 O-4/!&
UTTF8,8, J'J1 O-4/!&
UTUK7>i_ J/#
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