Forward discount bias

In this study, the similar tests are realized on the data set consisting of the daily forward quotations of both of the group of currencies in a broader time period beginning in 2000 ending in November 2012. The results of the study are not supportive for both of the previous studies and revealed the fact that there exist no considerable differences between the biasedness of the forward rates of the currencies of the developing and developed countries.

14p 035522894 13-04-2020 24 1   Download

The purpose of this study is twofold; firstly, the behavior of Turkish lira (TRL) forward rates against US Dollar (USD) and Euro will be evaluated; whether the interest rate parity holds and the market participants quote the forward foreign exchange rates according to the interest rate differentials. It is also analyzed whether the forward foreign exchange rate coincides with the spot exchange rate at the relevant maturity. Secondly, the unbiased forward rate hypothesis (UFH) is tested by the use of regression method.

12p 035522894 13-04-2020 13 1   Download