Stylized facts

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  • Volatility forecasting is crucial for option pricing, risk management and portfolio management. Nowadays, volatility has become the subject of trading. There are now exchange-traded contracts written on volatility. Financial market volatility also has a wider impact on financial regulation, monetary policy and macroeconomy.

    pdf238p greengrass304 14-09-2012 55 21   Download

  • They exhibit the profile characteristic of being credit constrained with spending out of current income, while simultaneously choosing a “flat” profile for credit card spending over the pay period. This behavior suggests of the use of a mental account rule, and thus provides some indication that households in our sample are sophisticated, and able to use internal commitments to limit overspending. In summary, the two main stylized facts generated by this paper are difficult to explain in the standard economic framework.

    pdf452p bin_pham 06-02-2013 24 6   Download

  • Preliminary analysis of the data reveals some noteworthy similarities and differences between Chile and the other countries considered. Over this sample period, Chilean interest rates are on average higher, more volatile, and less persistent than the interest rates for the other countries. However, in Chile, the degree of co-movement between retail bank interest rates and the money market rate is essentially the same as in other countries.

    pdf46p taisaovanchuavo 23-01-2013 27 5   Download

  • This chapter’s objectives are to: Examine the so-called stylized facts concerning the properties of economic timeseries data, introduce the basic ARCH and GARCH models, show how ARCH and GARCH models have been used to estimate inflation rate volatility,...

    ppt80p nomoney17 04-07-2017 14 1   Download

  • Our notion of what triggers a boom-bust cycle is very stylized: the signal occurs on a particular date and people learn that it is exactly false on another particular date. In more realistic scenarios, people form expectations based on an accumulation of various signals. If people’s expectations are in fact overoptimistic, they come to this realization only slowly and over time.

    pdf34p bocapchetnguoi 06-12-2012 31 0   Download


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