Managing loan portfolio by the econometric models: A theoretical analysis

Loan portfolio management plays important role in risk controlling system of commercial banks. The crucial idea of this paper is to examine theoretically two econometric models which can be used for loan portfolio management. These two models are credit portfolio view model and evaluation model of a commercial bank loan portfolio. The first model, credit portfolio model, provide a method to analyse the relationship between loan portfolio management and macroeconomic factors, then explain how economic cycles can affect the result of loan portfolio management in commercial bank.